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Yen Tergelincir Setelah Hasil Pemilu Jepang

Yen turun ke level terendah tiga bulan pada hari Senin setelah koalisi yang berkuasa Jepang kehilangan mayoritas parlemennya, membuat investor mengantisipasi laju kenaikan suku bunga yang lebih lambat di masa depan. Sementara itu, dolar mendekati kenaikan bulanan di tengah kenaikan imbal hasil AS, dengan yen mencapai level terlemah sejak akhir Juli, diperdagangkan pada 153,3 pada perdagangan pagi hari. 

(USDJPY Daily Price Chart, Source: Trading View) 

Partai Demokrat Liberal pimpinan Perdana Menteri Shigeru Ishiba, yang telah memerintah Jepang selama hampir seluruh periode pascaperangnya, kehilangan mayoritasnya dalam pemilihan umum. Pergeseran politik yang signifikan ini dapat mendorong aksi jual yen dan ekuitas Jepang sambil mendorong harga Obligasi Pemerintah Jepang. 

Partai Demokrat Liberal Ishiba dan mitra koalisinya Komeito hanya memenangkan 209 dari 465 kursi majelis rendah, turun dari 279 sebelumnya, menandai hasil terburuk koalisi sejak kehilangan kekuasaan singkat mereka pada tahun 2009. 

Periode pembangunan koalisi yang pecah belah kemungkinan akan menyusul, dengan tekanan biaya hidup yang tinggi dalam agenda. Trader memperkirakan bahwa setiap pemerintahan baru akan mendorong Bank of Japan untuk melanjutkan normalisasi kebijakan dengan hati-hati. Akibatnya, pasar melihat risiko yang meningkat dari kebijakan ekonomi yang lebih dovish. Keputusan suku bunga kebijakan BOJ, yang dijadwalkan pada hari Rabu, dapat secara signifikan mempengaruhi tren pasar dan sentimen investasi untuk sisa tahun ini. 

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